The Oracles — the best Polymarket traders, statistically validated
We call them Oracles: the Polymarket traders whose entries statistically precede the market's price move. Each one survived full-universe scanning, multiple-testing correction and an untouched holdout — then re-testing on complete, unbiased data. Identities are sealed and hash-committed, so the roster can never be rewritten.
Validation summary
Every validated Oracle was re-tested on complete, unbiased position sets several times larger than the originals. All of them survived. Every one is publicly verifiable.
Backtest across 64 independent trade clusters: measured edge per trade +1.09% to +2.57% at 95% confidence — decisively above zero. 92% of the validated edge comes from sports markets.
A binomial test against chance on every profiled wallet, corrected for 1,003 simultaneous comparisons, then confirmed on an untouched chronological holdout — adjusted p-values run as low as 4.9×10⁻¹³¹. Full methodology →
The wider field, ranked by expected value
Beyond the validated roster: every wallet the engine scored, ranked by expected value per dollar net of execution costs. Sortable — click any column.